Published inDataDrivenInvestor·PinnedMember-onlyTwo Simple Causes of Stock Market CrashBy now, everyone has seen a daily deterioration of the global stock markets. The US has been driving the movement with declines between 1–4%+ and only a smattering of mini rallies of 1–3%+. The S&P 500 peaked near the end of last year but has since seen an 18.5% drop…Interest Rates4 min readInterest Rates4 min read
Published inDialogue & Discourse·PinnedMember-onlyRussia Invades: 10 Potential Outcomes 3 Bad, 7 GoodThe markets reacted strongly to the Russian invasion of the Ukraine on Thursday, with the S&P 500 dropping 94pts at its low. (Friday rallied massively.) After President Biden assured action would be taken to mitigate the negative impact on the economy (SPR release), the S&P 500 rallied strongly and finished…Russia7 min readRussia7 min read
Published inDataDrivenInvestor·PinnedMember-onlyHow much is US going to spend on ESG?!?ESG Supercharged: $235B and $835B on clean energy & social safety net Before we get to the article, thought you’d like to check out some websites to get your ESG skill set up: •Principles for Responsible Investment: www.unpri.org/sustainability-issues •UN Sustainable Development: www.un.org/sustainabledevelopment/sustainable-development-goals •Sustainability Accounting Standards Board: www.sasb.org/standards-overview/materiality-mapEsg3 min readEsg3 min read
PinnedMember-onlyBiden and Fed: here’s what we learned for the economyBoth the Fed and Biden had big meetings this week. Biden gave a “this-is-not-a-state-of-the-union” state of the union address on part 2 of his “infrastructure” plans. The Fed had a “we’re-not-tapering-and-inflation-is-temporary” meeting on monetary policy. …Biden4 min readBiden4 min read
PinnedMember-onlyBiden’s Gigantic, Enormous and Quite Large Infrastructure PlanIs it big? Yes. Is it bold? Yes. And we can get it done. President Joe Biden on the American Jobs Plan Fact Check: these are all true. At the Carpenters Pittsburgh Training Center, President Biden formally announced his $2 trillion plus “American Jobs Plan” (AJP) targeted at increasing growth…Biden4 min readBiden4 min read
Published inDataDrivenInvestor·Jan 20, 2022Member-onlyThe Fed’s Inflation Trolley ProblemThe Fed’s Inflation Trolley Problem One of the more interesting philosophical and ethics experiments is the trolley problem. It’s a fictional scenario with varying mechanics, but let’s use this one. 1. You are a driver of a trolley. 2. The trolley brakes fail. 3. You are heading toward a switch…Economy3 min readEconomy3 min read
Published inDataDrivenInvestor·Dec 14, 2021Member-only22 for 2022: Top Challenges to Ruin Your SleepClimb a wall of worry? Bah! How about a mountain! Here are my top 22 economic and market challenges for 2022. No list is complete and neither is this one. …Economy4 min readEconomy4 min read
Oct 21, 2021Member-onlyCOP26: US Thin Green GruelWhy activists will be disappointed — As the world gets ready for COP26, it is a great time to review the Biden administration’s policies on climate change and know what to expect in Glasgow. Before now, we’ve been producing research to get everyone up to speed on climate change and how countries have been adopting policies…Cop266 min readCop266 min read
Published inDataDrivenInvestor·Sep 29, 2021Member-onlySupply Chains: why the mess and when will it end?“This quarter, and I think we’ll continue to see that a little bit in Q2 and Q3, had some of the most difficult supply chain challenges that we’ve ever experienced in the life of Tesla and same difficulties with supply chain, with parts — over the whole range of parts…Supply Chain3 min readSupply Chain3 min read
Sep 2, 2021Member-onlyWhy ESG NowThe key factors driving demand As the torrent of money into ESG vehicles continues to flow, the question running through many people’s minds is “why now?” To me, there are three major factors driving the interest. First, COVID and climate change related natural disasters. Second, the recent assessment report from…Climate Change4 min readClimate Change4 min read
